央视财经专访马斯克：中国的魅力无以言表

当地时间 22 日中午（北京时间今天凌晨），特斯拉 CEO 埃隆·马斯克在加州硅谷接受了央视财经的独家专访，分享了他对中国市场、前沿技术和未来合作的看法。

At noon local time on the 22nd (early this morning Beijing time), Tesla CEO Elon Musk sat down for an exclusive interview with CCTV Finance in Silicon Valley, California, sharing his thoughts on the Chinese market, frontier technology, and future cooperation.

采访中，马斯克再次向大家推荐去中国看看。他说，只要你有时间，一定要亲自去那里。

During the interview, Musk once again recommended visiting China to everyone. He said that as long as you have the time, you must go there yourself.

一年到下一年的进步，甚至一年内的进步——非常明显。你能看到新的建筑、新的基础设施，而且只要在街上走走，就能明显看到普通中国民众的富裕程度大幅提升。

The amount of progress that happens from one year to the next, or even within a year—it's very visible. You can see the new buildings, the new infrastructure, and it's also obvious to see, just walking around the streets, that the increased prosperity of the average Chinese citizen has increased tremendously.

如果你有机会带一位美国企业家第一次访问中国，你最想让他首先体验的最重要经历是什么？

If you have one opportunity to bring one American entrepreneur to visit China for the first time, what will be the most important experience you want him to have first?

嗯，我一般会建议，呃……我是说，那个人能在中国投入多少时间就投入多少，因为中国有太多东西可看。我坐高铁从北京到西安；那是一次很棒的体验。火车站令人惊叹。兵马俑是世界奇迹之一，一定要看看窗外，别老盯着手机，因为可看的东西太多了。

Well, I would generally recommend, um...I mean, as much time as that person can devote to China, they should, because China has so many things to see. I took the bullet train from Beijing to Xi'an; that was a great experience. Train stations are amazing. The Terracotta Warriors are one of the wonders of the world, and just make sure you look out the window and you're not on your phone, 'cause there's so much to see.

是的，我总是推荐大家去中国看看。

Yeah, I always recommend everyone to experience going to see China.

是的，任何语言……都无法公正地描述它。

Yes, any words...no words can do it justice.

今年 7 月底，特斯拉第 1000 万辆电动车下线，成为全球首家累计产量突破 1000 万辆的纯电动车制造商。自 2019 年底特斯拉上海超级工厂开始交付以来，已生产超过 450 万辆汽车，约占特斯拉全球总产量的 45%。它仍是特斯拉全球最大的出口枢纽，持续服务中国。

At the end of July this year, Tesla's 10 millionth electric vehicle rolled off the production line, making it the first pure electric vehicle manufacturer globally to surpass a cumulative production of 10 million units. Since Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory began deliveries at the end of 2019, it has produced over 4.5 million vehicles, accounting for about 45% of Tesla's total global output. It remains Tesla's largest global export hub, continuously serving China.

这很神奇。上海的成功是因为中国人民。我们有一个才华横溢、勤奋且值得信赖的特斯拉中国团队，质量非常出色。

It's magic. The reason for Shanghai is because of the Chinese people. What we have is a Tesla China team that is just incredibly talented, hardworking, and trustworthy, and the quality is excellent.

在接受央视财经采访时，马斯克预测，未来 10 年内全球人形机器人数量将达到至少 10 亿台。假设年产量每年翻一番，20 年内可能达到 1000 亿台。为了适应这个时代，年轻人应该尽可能多地学习知识并掌握……

In his interview with CCTV Finance, Musk predicted that the global number of humanoid robots will reach at least 1 billion units within the next 10 years. Assuming annual production doubles every year, it could reach 100 billion units in 20 years. To adapt to this era, young people should learn as much knowledge as possible and master ...

10 年内至少 10 亿台人形机器人，假设每年大约翻一番；那么大约每四年增长 10 倍。你知道，也许这意味着，比如 15 年内有 100 亿台机器人，20 年内有 1000 亿台。如果每个人都能拥有自己的 C-3PO 或 R2-D2，那该多好？但比这更好的是，比如更有生产力……那可以照顾……并成为你孩子的一对一老师，还能处理你能想到的任何工作，在许多公司里，一个人……可能管理数千台机器人，物理机器人和数字智能体。

At least a billion humanoid robots within 10 years, assuming things roughly double per year; then that's about every four years you have a 10x increase. You know, maybe that would mean, say, in 15 years there are 10 billion robots, and in 20 years, 100 billion. Wouldn't it be great if everyone could have their own personal C-3PO or R2-D2? But even better than that, like more productive... That could take care of... and be a one-on-one teacher for your child, and taking care of any jobs that you can think of in many companies where one person... may manage thousands of robots, physical robots as well as digital agents.

马斯克在采访中表示，机器人的速度……人类很难匹配其反应速度。

Musk stated in the interview that robot speed... humans find it hard to match the reaction speed.

就像，我是说，顺便说一句，美国每个人都被那迷住了。它遍布美国社交媒体。嗯，看起来很有趣，但它也展示了人形机器人技术的进步。就像，如果机器人只是摔倒，当然就不会有趣了。所以，你知道，机器人在拳击、摔跤、跑步、做体操。这很酷。所以，我是说，未来会有很多机器人。

It was like, I mean, everyone in America was fascinated by that, by the way. It was all over US social media. Well, it's entertaining to watch, but it also shows you the progress of humanoid robotics. Like, it wouldn't be entertaining to watch if the robots just fell over, of course. So, you know, the robots are boxing and wrestling, running, doing gymnastics. It's pretty cool. So, I mean, the future is going to have a lot of robots.

马斯克指出，AI 领域的发展速度令人眼花缭乱，甚至他自己也觉得 AI，嗯，仍然感觉……令人震惊。机器人将做到人类可能想不到的更多事情。

Musk noted that the speed of development in the AI field is dizzying, and even he himself finds AI, well, it still feels... shocking. Robots will do more than humans could possibly think of.

作为人类，在合理范围内你能做的事情是有限的。所以，我认为机器人实际上会做完为人类做的事情，然后它们会为自己做事，因为它们已经做完了为人类做的事情。

There is a finite amount of things you could do as a human within reason. So, I think the robots will actually run out of things to do for humans, and then they will do things for themselves because they run out of things to do for humans.

马斯克表示，在机器人大规模普及后，使用门槛不在于硬件本身，而在于人们能否向机器人提出清晰具体的要求。他建议年轻学生尽可能广泛地学习，结合人文学科、艺术和科学。

Musk indicated that after the large-scale promotion of robots, the threshold for use lies not in the hardware itself, but in whether people can propose clear and specific requirements to the robots. He suggests young students study as broadly as possible, combining humanities, arts, and sciences.

广泛的教育是可能的，包括艺术和科学、工程、广泛的常识。就像，为了知道向机器人要求什么，你需要能够提出问题，而拥有尽可能广泛的常识，你就能更好地提出问题，或者他们所说的‘提示工程’，我想。但你必须向机器人传达你的愿望。尽管听起来很疯狂，我们会用完……会有如此多的 AI 智能体，以至于 AI 会渴望听到你可能的任何请求。

A broad-based education is possible that includes arts and sciences, engineering, wide general knowledge. Like, in order to know what to ask the robots for, you need to be able to formulate the question, and with the broadest possible general knowledge, you'll be better able to formulate the questions, or what they call 'prompt engineering,' I guess. But you've got to convey your wishes to the robot. And as crazy as that sounds, we will run out... there will be so many AI agents that AI will be eager to hear any request that you could possibly have.